{"id":2152,"date":"2025-03-04T02:00:19","date_gmt":"2025-03-04T02:00:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/info.engineer\/?p=2152"},"modified":"2025-03-04T02:00:19","modified_gmt":"2025-03-04T02:00:19","slug":"%e9%bb%91%e5%a4%a9%e9%b9%85%e4%ba%8b%e4%bb%b6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/info.engineer\/?p=2152","title":{"rendered":"\u9ed1\u5929\u9e45\u4e8b\u4ef6"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>\u9ed1\u5929\u9e45\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff08\u82f1\u6587\uff1a&#8221;Black swan&#8221; incidents)\u6307\u975e\u5e38\u96be\u4ee5\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u4e14\u4e0d\u5bfb\u5e38\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u4f1a\u5f15\u8d77\u5e02\u573a\u8fde\u9501\u8d1f\u9762\u53cd\u5e94\u751a\u81f3\u98a0\u8986\u3002 \u4e00\u822c\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u9ed1\u5929\u9e45\u201d\u4e8b\u4ef6\u662f\u6307\u6ee1\u8db3\u4ee5\u4e0b\u4e09\u4e2a\u7279\u70b9\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a\u5b83\u5177\u6709\u610f\u5916\u6027\uff1b\u5b83\u4ea7\u751f\u91cd\u5927\u5f71\u54cd\uff1b\u867d\u7136\u5b83\u5177\u6709\u610f\u5916\u6027\uff0c\u4f46\u4eba\u7684\u672c\u6027\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u4e8b\u540e\u4e3a\u5b83\u7684\u53d1\u751f\u7f16\u9020\u7406\u7531\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6216\u591a\u6216\u5c11\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5b83\u662f\u53ef\u89e3\u91ca\u548c\u53ef\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u3002\u9ed1\u5929\u9e45\u5b58\u5728\u4e8e\u5404\u4e2a\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u3001\u5546\u4e1a\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fd8\u662f\u4e2a\u4eba\u751f\u6d3b\uff0c\u90fd\u9003\u4e0d\u8fc7\u5b83\u7684\u63a7\u5236\u3002\u201c\u7070\u7280\u725b\u201d\u662f\u4e0e\u201c\u9ed1\u5929\u9e45\u201d\u76f8\u4e92\u8865\u8db3\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\uff0c\u201c\u7070\u7280\u725b\u4e8b\u4ef6\u201d\u662f\u592a\u8fc7\u4e8e\u5e38\u89c1\u4ee5\u81f3\u4e8e\u4eba\u4eec\u4e60\u4ee5\u4e3a\u5e38\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u201c\u9ed1\u5929\u9e45\u4e8b\u4ef6\u201d\u5219\u662f\u6781\u5176\u7f55\u89c1\u7684\u3001\u51fa\u4e4e\u4eba\u4eec\u610f\u6599\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u9ed1\u5929\u9e45\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff08\u82f1\u6587\uff1a&#8221;Black swan&#8221; incidents)\u6307\u975e\u5e38\u96be\u4ee5\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u4e14\u4e0d\u5bfb\u5e38\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u4f1a\u5f15\u8d77\u5e02\u573a\u8fde\u9501\u8d1f\u9762\u53cd\u5e94\u751a\u81f3\u98a0\u8986\u3002 \u4e00\u822c\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u9ed1\u5929\u9e45\u201d\u4e8b\u4ef6\u662f\u6307\u6ee1\u8db3\u4ee5\u4e0b\u4e09\u4e2a\u7279\u70b9\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a\u5b83\u5177\u6709\u610f\u5916\u6027\uff1b\u5b83\u4ea7\u751f\u91cd\u5927\u5f71\u54cd\uff1b\u867d\u7136\u5b83\u5177\u6709\u610f\u5916\u6027\uff0c\u4f46\u4eba\u7684\u672c\u6027\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u4e8b\u540e\u4e3a\u5b83\u7684\u53d1\u751f\u7f16\u9020\u7406\u7531\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6216\u591a\u6216\u5c11\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5b83\u662f\u53ef\u89e3\u91ca\u548c\u53ef\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u3002\u9ed1\u5929\u9e45\u5b58\u5728\u4e8e\u5404\u4e2a\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u3001\u5546\u4e1a\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fd8\u662f\u4e2a\u4eba\u751f\u6d3b\uff0c\u90fd\u9003\u4e0d\u8fc7\u5b83\u7684\u63a7\u5236\u3002\u201c\u7070\u7280\u725b\u201d\u662f\u4e0e\u201c\u9ed1\u5929\u9e45\u201d\u76f8\u4e92\u8865\u8db3\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\uff0c\u201c\u7070\u7280\u725b\u4e8b\u4ef6\u201d\u662f\u592a\u8fc7\u4e8e\u5e38\u89c1\u4ee5\u81f3\u4e8e\u4eba\u4eec\u4e60\u4ee5\u4e3a\u5e38\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u201c\u9ed1\u5929\u9e45\u4e8b\u4ef6\u201d\u5219\u662f\u6781\u5176\u7f55\u89c1\u7684\u3001\u51fa\u4e4e\u4eba\u4eec\u610f\u6599\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[63],"class_list":["post-2152","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-shxx","tag-63"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/info.engineer\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2152","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/info.engineer\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/info.engineer\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/info.engineer\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/info.engineer\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2152"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/info.engineer\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2152\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2153,"href":"http:\/\/info.engineer\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2152\/revisions\/2153"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/info.engineer\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2152"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/info.engineer\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2152"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/info.engineer\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2152"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}